NOPD release Uniform Crime Report (UCR) Part I crime data for the second quarter and first six months of 2016 today and the actual numbers were pretty close to the numbers I projected in early July.

There were 4,813 UCR Part I person and property crimes in the second quarter of 2016, down one crime from the 4,814 such crimes in the first quarter of the year. There were 9,627 UCR Part I crimes in the first half of 2016, good for a 7.5 percent rise over the same period in 2015.

Much of the first quarter’s rise was due to improved response times and sex crime reporting, and worsening response times probably slowed the growth of crime in the second quarter.