There have been 718 people shot in 568 shooting incidents and 205 people murdered in New Orleans over the last 365 days. If this were the end of the calendar year those figures would be by far the worst of the Landrieu administration.
As May comes to a close it is worthwhile to examine where New Orleans stands with UCR Part I crime. Previous posts have covered how I estimate UCR Part I crime counts and it’s worth noting that the city hasn’t published the first quarter crime official stats yet as of May 31. Continue reading “NOLA Crime YTD Update”
Absent a significant reduction in gun violence it appears likely that New Orleans will see another jump in murder in 2017.
Thus concluded my 2017 murder forecast published late in December 2016. As we approach nearly five full months into the year it is apparent that both the conclusions and the underlying analysis were spot on. Continue reading “The Pessimist’s Murder Forecast for the Rest of 2017 in NOLA”
A few weeks ago I began playing around with the FBI’s Supplementary Homicide Reports. These datasets contain information on individual murder victims and offenders that are aggregated and published under the FBI’s Uniform Crime Report program. It takes some canoodling, but the data on murder exists all the way from 1968 to 2015. Add in some data from NOPD and the final product is a record of nearly every homicide victim in New Orleans from 1968 to present available here for anyone to view.
The National Archive of Criminal Justice Data has raw data freely available (you’ll need a login) to hundreds — thousands? — of studies and publications related to criminal justice. One of the studies that has caught my eye is the “Evaluation of the Phoenix, Arizona, Homicide Clearance Initiative, 2003-2005”.
NOPD Chief Michael Harrison went before the New Orleans City Council’s Criminal Justice Committee on Thursday to talk crime in the first few months of 2017. Per Harrison NOPD’s murder clearance rate is 31 percent so far in 2017 after clearing 41 percent of cases in 2016.
NOPD’s murder clearance rate and potential trouble within the homicide division have been in the news lately. I’ve previously posted about New Orleans’ falling murder clearance rate but I wanted to revisit the subject in light of its importance.
The burglar alarm ordinance, passed nearly two years ago, is scheduled to finally go into effect on May 1st. As a refresher: people will receive a warning at their first alarm, a $75 fine at their second alarm, a $150 fine at their third and fourth alarms, and NOPD will stop responding after that. Continue reading “The Benefits of Fewer Burglar Alarms”
The first three months of 2017 are in the books and it appears that overall Uniform Crime Report (UCR) Part I crime was up about 5.5 percent from the first quarter of 2016. As I’ve written several times before, Calls for Service works as a good (though imperfect) predictor of the city’s official UCR counts which won’t be released for several weeks. Continue reading “NOLA 1st Quarter Crime Review”