Things were not looking good at midyear 2017. Shootings were up with no sign of slowing down, armed robberies were down a couple of percent but slowly ticking upwards, a huge surge in vehicle burglaries and shopliftings had created a double digit increase in UCR Part I crime relative to 2016, and NOPD had shrunk while launching just one small recruiting class all year.
But then all of those negative trends turned around, and the outlook at the end of 2017 is decidedly rosier (though when analyzing crime when is it ever fully rosy?) than it was at the middle of the year. Let’s review: