One of the effects of a smaller police force has been a sizable drop in the number of officers assigned to NOPD’s homicide unit. As I previously showed, NOPD had 41 sworn officers assigned to homicide in mid-2013 and has only 29 officers assigned there as of this month.
Crime on Bourbon Street is back in the news making this a perfect time to examine what types of Calls for Service originate there. To do this I took all 80,000 or so 2017 Calls for Service and identified those with an address on Bourbon Street. Note that this will miss incidents occurring just off Bourbon Street but it provides a good estimate of what goes on there.
Crime is up in New Orleans in the first quarter of 2017. The previously linked post discusses a number of possible explanations for why that might be the case, but one undeniable conclusion is that a rise in vehicle burglaries is a major contributor.
I wrote a little while ago about how gun violence might have been slowing down in NOLA and the good news is that the slowdown appears to be even clearer than it was a few weeks ago. The question remaining, therefore, is whether this is a long term return to previous gun violence patterns or a short term drop with a floor well above previous highs.
Any crime analysis done in the first half of the year really needs the disclaimer that “it’s early” and this analysis is no different. We are only 59 days into 2017 and a lot of the current trends could change over the next 10 months. That said, the available evidence suggests crime, driven by an increase in property crime and gun violence, is up considerably so far this year.
Official crime numbers are out so time to revisit the Change in NOLA Crime, 2010 to 2016.
The official numbers are in from NOPD: citywide Uniform Crime Report Part I crime rose 4.4 percent from 2015 to 2016. This largely jives with the forecast I made in late December of a roughly 5 percent jump last year. Continue reading “New Orleans Crime Rose 4.4% in 2016”
Some types of New Orleans crime rise and fall with the calendar and many do not. Few crimes, however, are so centered around one specific time a year as pickpockets are to Mardi Gras season. So the Sacramento Kings shouldn’t feel bad about DeMarcus Cousins getting stolen from them last night, it’s happening a lot down here right about now.
The start to 2017 has been terrible in terms of gun violence in New Orleans. Shootings are up 63 percent relative to this day in 2016 and murders are up 145 percent over that span. The rise in gun violence in New Orleans at the start of 2017 is not some spontaneous happenstance, but rather it reflects a change that began here toward the middle of 2016.
There is evidence, however, that gun violence may be slowing down or at least is no longer rising as quickly.